Twente vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.9%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.4%
7.7%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2011 |
TWE
4 - 1
WIS
71%
18%
11%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
AJA
1 - 1
TWE
49%
24%
27%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
ZWA
1 - 8
TWE
2%
12%
86%
|
89 | 38 | 51 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
TWE
5 - 2
ADO
72%
18%
11%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2011 |
FUL
1 - 1
TWE
44%
26%
30%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
EXC
0 - 2
VIT
43%
25%
33%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2011 |
EXC
0 - 5
EXC
24%
23%
53%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
GRO
2 - 0
EXC
69%
19%
12%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
EXC
2 - 3
UTR
30%
28%
43%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
PSV
6 - 1
EXC
78%
15%
7%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |