Twente vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.5%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.4%
8.1%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2010 |
BRE
0 - 2
TWE
62%
21%
17%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
PSV
0 - 1
TWE
55%
24%
21%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2010 |
WIL
1 - 3
TWE
13%
24%
64%
|
87 | 56 | 31 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
TWE
3 - 2
ADO
72%
18%
10%
|
87 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2010 |
TWE
1 - 1
BRE
35%
25%
41%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
EXC
0 - 2
SCH
32%
25%
44%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2010 |
UTR
2 - 0
EXC
65%
21%
14%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
EXC
2 - 2
AJA
12%
17%
71%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
ADO
2 - 1
EXC
46%
25%
29%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
EXC
1 - 2
RJC
42%
25%
33%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |