Twente vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.5%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
15.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1984 |
TWE
0 - 0
PSV
23%
24%
52%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1984 |
BOS
3 - 0
TWE
42%
26%
32%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 1984 |
VOL
1 - 1
TWE
42%
26%
32%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1984 |
SPA
2 - 2
TWE
65%
19%
17%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1984 |
TWE
3 - 2
RJC
60%
22%
18%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1984 |
EXC
2 - 4
FEY
21%
23%
56%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1984 |
UTR
4 - 1
EXC
66%
20%
15%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1984 |
EXC
5 - 0
ZWO
62%
23%
15%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1984 |
EXC
3 - 1
GRO
44%
25%
31%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 1984 |
GAE
3 - 2
EXC
65%
19%
15%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |