Twente vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.2%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
19%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19%
10.8%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1983 |
NAC
3 - 1
TWE
28%
28%
45%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1983 |
TWE
2 - 4
HFC
64%
21%
14%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1983 |
AJA
5 - 0
TWE
83%
11%
6%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1983 |
TWE
1 - 1
GAE
70%
19%
11%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1983 |
FOR
3 - 0
TWE
27%
27%
46%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1983 |
EXC
2 - 1
NEC
64%
23%
14%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1983 |
PSV
4 - 3
EXC
79%
14%
7%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1983 |
EXC
2 - 0
SPA
40%
27%
34%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 1983 |
EXC
3 - 0
GRO
40%
26%
34%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 1983 |
NAC
0 - 0
EXC
52%
26%
21%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |