Twente vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.4%
6.6%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1980 |
SPA
1 - 0
TWE
24%
27%
50%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1980 |
TWE
2 - 0
ADO
76%
16%
8%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1980 |
MVV
1 - 0
TWE
21%
26%
53%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1980 |
TWE
1 - 0
ZWO
80%
13%
7%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1980 |
TWE
2 - 1
PSV
49%
24%
26%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1980 |
EXC
1 - 1
RJC
41%
28%
32%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1980 |
FEY
0 - 4
EXC
82%
13%
6%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | +2 |
| 24 Feb. 1980 |
EXC
1 - 1
UTR
48%
26%
27%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1980 |
VIT
3 - 3
EXC
63%
21%
16%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1980 |
AZA
1 - 0
EXC
81%
13%
6%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | -1 |