Twente vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.8%
1-0
5%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
60%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
GRO
1 - 1
TWE
16%
24%
60%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
TWE
1 - 1
FEY
21%
23%
56%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2023 |
VIT
2 - 2
TWE
32%
26%
42%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
TWE
2 - 0
UTR
43%
25%
33%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
AJA
0 - 0
TWE
73%
16%
11%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
BVO
0 - 5
AJA
12%
18%
70%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
EXC
1 - 4
AJA
13%
18%
69%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2023 |
AJA
1 - 1
VOL
83%
11%
6%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
FEY
1 - 1
AJA
46%
23%
32%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
AJA
0 - 0
TWE
73%
16%
11%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |