Twente vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.6%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.7%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.5%
16%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
75.3%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.1%
0-3
10.7%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.5%
0-4
6.3%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.5%
0-5
3%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
FOR
2 - 1
TWE
45%
25%
30%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
TWE
0 - 1
LAZ
14%
23%
63%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2021 |
TWE
0 - 1
VNZ
34%
26%
40%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
ARB
1 - 1
TWE
51%
24%
25%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
ADO
2 - 2
TWE
25%
23%
52%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
AJA
5 - 0
NEC
81%
13%
7%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
AJA
0 - 4
PSV
47%
22%
31%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2021 |
AJA
4 - 0
LEE
67%
18%
15%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
AJA
1 - 1
RBL
42%
23%
35%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
BYM
2 - 2
AJA
78%
13%
8%
|
89 | 95 | 6 | 0 |