Twente vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.5%
15%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15%
76.1%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
12%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.7%
0-3
10.1%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16%
0-4
6.4%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.3%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
4.5%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
FCE
1 - 4
TWE
31%
26%
44%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2020 |
TWE
0 - 2
SPA
52%
25%
24%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
VVV
1 - 2
TWE
35%
26%
39%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
TWE
1 - 3
AZA
18%
22%
60%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
AJA
1 - 2
TWE
84%
11%
5%
|
72 | 89 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
AJA
2 - 2
PSV
51%
22%
27%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
WIL
1 - 1
AJA
8%
14%
78%
|
89 | 71 | 18 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
ADO
2 - 4
AJA
6%
13%
81%
|
89 | 66 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
AJA
5 - 4
UTR
72%
16%
12%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
AJA
4 - 0
ZWO
84%
11%
5%
|
89 | 70 | 19 | 0 |