Twente vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.2%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
57.6%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
TWE
1 - 1
VIT
30%
26%
44%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2017 |
NAC
1 - 2
TWE
49%
25%
26%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
TWE
2 - 3
ADO
44%
25%
32%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
TWE
3 - 3
AJA
16%
22%
62%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2017 |
AZA
2 - 0
TWE
71%
18%
11%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
AZA
1 - 2
AJA
38%
24%
38%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2017 |
AJA
3 - 1
EXC
76%
15%
8%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
AJA
3 - 0
PSV
30%
23%
46%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
TWE
3 - 3
AJA
16%
22%
62%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
AJA
5 - 1
RJC
80%
14%
6%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | +1 |