Twente vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
34.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2011 |
TWE
4 - 0
WIL
78%
16%
6%
|
88 | 55 | 33 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2011 |
ADO
1 - 2
TWE
21%
24%
55%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
GRA
1 - 1
TWE
17%
23%
60%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2011 |
TWE
1 - 3
VIL
44%
26%
31%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
TWE
1 - 1
RJC
68%
19%
13%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2011 |
SCH
1 - 2
AJA
20%
21%
59%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
AJA
4 - 1
EXC
81%
13%
6%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
NEC
1 - 2
AJA
13%
20%
67%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
AJA
2 - 0
GRO
70%
18%
12%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
AJA
3 - 0
HER
75%
16%
9%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |