Eredivisie Play Offs Champions League Final
Global 2-1
Twente vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.1%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
49.7%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2008 |
NAC
1 - 5
TWE
43%
26%
31%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2008 |
TWE
3 - 0
NAC
57%
22%
21%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
TWE
2 - 0
WIL
69%
20%
12%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
PSV
1 - 1
TWE
66%
21%
13%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
TWE
1 - 0
EXC
74%
18%
9%
|
82 | 62 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2008 |
AJA
3 - 1
SCH
72%
17%
11%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2008 |
SCH
1 - 2
AJA
32%
24%
45%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
AJA
5 - 1
HER
79%
14%
7%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2008 |
GRO
1 - 2
AJA
18%
22%
61%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
AJA
4 - 1
GRA
79%
14%
7%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |