Twente vs Ajax analysis

Twente Ajax
81 ELO 89
5.2% Tilt -3.8%
115º General ELO ranking 102º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
24.9%
Twente
23.6%
Draw
51.5%
Ajax

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.9%
Win probability
Twente
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.7%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
51.5%
Win probability
Ajax
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Twente
-6%
+3%
Ajax

ELO progression

Twente
Ajax
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Twente
Twente
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Mar. 2007
NEC
NEC Nijmegen
0 - 3
Twente
TWE
34%
28%
38%
81 72 9 0
24 Feb. 2007
TWE
Twente
0 - 0
Willem II
WIL
68%
19%
13%
81 66 15 0
18 Feb. 2007
SCH
Heerenveen
1 - 2
Twente
TWE
50%
25%
25%
81 80 1 0
11 Feb. 2007
TWE
Twente
3 - 0
Feyenoord
FEY
27%
24%
49%
80 87 7 +1
03 Feb. 2007
EXC
Excelsior
1 - 2
Twente
TWE
33%
27%
40%
80 65 15 0

Matches

Ajax
Ajax
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Mar. 2007
AJA
Ajax
0 - 1
Heerenveen
SCH
69%
19%
12%
88 80 8 0
28 Feb. 2007
WIL
Willem II
0 - 2
Ajax
AJA
17%
21%
62%
88 67 21 0
25 Feb. 2007
AZA
AZ Alkmaar
1 - 1
Ajax
AJA
42%
23%
35%
88 87 1 0
22 Feb. 2007
AJA
Ajax
3 - 1
Werder Bremen
BRE
39%
25%
36%
88 90 2 0
18 Feb. 2007
AJA
Ajax
2 - 2
Excelsior
EXC
77%
15%
8%
88 65 23 0