Twente vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
51.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 1999 |
TWE
0 - 3
AZA
53%
24%
22%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1999 |
TWE
2 - 5
FOR
62%
21%
17%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 1998 |
TWE
0 - 0
VIT
34%
26%
40%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1998 |
RJC
2 - 0
TWE
50%
24%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 1998 |
SPA
4 - 2
TWE
31%
25%
44%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1999 |
RJC
0 - 3
AJA
28%
26%
45%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1998 |
FEY
1 - 1
AJA
47%
24%
29%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1998 |
AJA
0 - 0
SCH
74%
15%
10%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1998 |
FCP
3 - 0
AJA
46%
24%
31%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1998 |
AJA
1 - 1
MVV
82%
12%
6%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |