Twente vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
53.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1998 |
RKC
5 - 1
TWE
29%
26%
46%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1998 |
GRO
0 - 1
TWE
35%
25%
40%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 1998 |
NAC
1 - 0
TWE
35%
25%
40%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 1998 |
TWE
2 - 0
RKC
67%
20%
13%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 1998 |
MVV
2 - 2
TWE
28%
25%
47%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1998 |
NAC
0 - 2
AJA
20%
23%
56%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1998 |
SPA
1 - 0
AJA
46%
25%
30%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 1998 |
AJA
6 - 1
VOL
89%
8%
2%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 1998 |
AJA
1 - 3
SPA
64%
20%
16%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 1998 |
AJA
3 - 0
NEC
84%
11%
5%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | +1 |