Twente vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.2%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
26.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 1978 |
TWE
3 - 0
VOL
76%
16%
8%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1978 |
RJC
0 - 0
TWE
33%
28%
39%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1978 |
TWE
0 - 0
FEY
48%
25%
27%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1978 |
VIT
3 - 2
TWE
28%
25%
48%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1978 |
TWE
2 - 0
VVV
75%
16%
9%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 1978 |
AZA
1 - 2
AJA
45%
25%
30%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1978 |
AJA
2 - 0
BUD
89%
7%
4%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1978 |
AJA
7 - 3
VOL
83%
11%
5%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1978 |
ADO
0 - 0
AJA
24%
26%
50%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1978 |
BUD
4 - 1
AJA
24%
23%
53%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |