Twente vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
23.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1977 |
HFC
1 - 1
TWE
26%
27%
47%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1977 |
TWE
1 - 4
AZA
64%
21%
15%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1977 |
TWE
1 - 1
PSV
47%
24%
29%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1977 |
SPA
1 - 2
TWE
35%
28%
38%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1977 |
BBS
1 - 2
TWE
31%
28%
42%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1977 |
AJA
1 - 4
PSV
55%
22%
24%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1977 |
SPA
1 - 1
AJA
32%
27%
42%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1977 |
AJA
3 - 2
ADO
78%
14%
8%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1977 |
NEC
0 - 1
AJA
23%
26%
51%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1977 |
AJA
2 - 1
LSO
81%
13%
6%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | -1 |