Twente vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.9%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
26.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1976 |
UTR
0 - 1
TWE
28%
27%
44%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1976 |
TWE
2 - 0
PSV
46%
24%
30%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1976 |
RJC
0 - 0
TWE
28%
28%
44%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1976 |
TWE
2 - 0
ADO
71%
18%
11%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1976 |
SPA
1 - 1
TWE
36%
28%
36%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1976 |
GRA
2 - 1
AJA
20%
21%
59%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1976 |
AJA
0 - 0
ADO
83%
11%
6%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1976 |
EXC
0 - 2
AJA
12%
23%
66%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1976 |
AJA
2 - 0
SPA
80%
13%
7%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1976 |
AJA
2 - 1
TEL
83%
11%
6%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |