Twente vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.8%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
26%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 1974 |
PSV
1 - 1
TWE
49%
26%
25%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1974 |
TWE
1 - 1
FEY
43%
24%
33%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1974 |
TWE
2 - 0
UTR
73%
17%
10%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1974 |
HFC
1 - 2
TWE
21%
30%
49%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1973 |
GAE
0 - 1
TWE
28%
29%
43%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 1974 |
AJA
2 - 1
NEC
89%
8%
3%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1974 |
ADO
0 - 1
AJA
27%
27%
46%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1974 |
AJA
6 - 0
ACM
74%
14%
12%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1974 |
AMS
1 - 0
AJA
25%
22%
53%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1974 |
ACM
1 - 0
AJA
64%
18%
18%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | -1 |