Twente vs Ajax analysis

Twente Ajax
78 ELO 89
5.8% Tilt 1.4%
114º General ELO ranking 103º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
27.7%
Twente
24.9%
Draw
47.4%
Ajax

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.7%
Win probability
Twente
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
47.4%
Win probability
Ajax
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Twente
-6%
+6%
Ajax

ELO progression

Twente
Ajax
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Twente
Twente
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Oct. 1969
NEC
NEC Nijmegen
1 - 1
Twente
TWE
36%
23%
42%
79 71 8 0
30 Sep. 1969
TWE
Twente
1 - 0
FC Rouen 1899
FCR
65%
19%
16%
78 78 0 +1
28 Sep. 1969
TWE
Twente
2 - 0
Sparta Rotterdam
SPA
59%
23%
19%
78 79 1 0
21 Sep. 1969
GAE
Go Ahead Eagles
1 - 1
Twente
TWE
53%
24%
24%
78 81 3 0
14 Sep. 1969
TWE
Twente
2 - 0
MVV Maastricht
MVV
70%
18%
11%
77 69 8 +1

Matches

Ajax
Ajax
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Oct. 1969
AJA
Ajax
3 - 0
PSV
PSV
81%
12%
7%
88 81 7 0
28 Sep. 1969
SHS
SHS Scheveningen Holland
1 - 4
Ajax
AJA
21%
20%
59%
88 70 18 0
24 Sep. 1969
AJA
Ajax
3 - 0
Hannover 96
HAN
85%
10%
5%
89 81 8 -1
21 Sep. 1969
AJA
Ajax
4 - 0
HFC Haarlem
HFC
89%
7%
4%
88 71 17 +1
17 Sep. 1969
HAN
Hannover 96
2 - 1
Ajax
AJA
35%
24%
42%
89 80 9 -1