Twente vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.8%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
55.3%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1968 |
NEC
1 - 1
TWE
60%
22%
19%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1968 |
TWE
2 - 0
SPA
39%
23%
38%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 1968 |
XER
2 - 0
TWE
52%
24%
24%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 1968 |
TWE
1 - 0
PSV
50%
23%
27%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 1968 |
TWE
1 - 2
GRO
56%
23%
21%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1968 |
AJA
4 - 0
MVV
87%
9%
4%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1968 |
SIT
1 - 1
AJA
19%
23%
59%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1968 |
AJA
3 - 2
DWS
86%
10%
5%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1968 |
VOL
1 - 4
AJA
21%
24%
55%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1968 |
VVD
1 - 1
AJA
23%
24%
53%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |