Twente vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.1%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.5%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
47%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 1966 |
ELI
2 - 1
TWE
39%
25%
36%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1966 |
TWE
1 - 3
FEY
31%
22%
47%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 1966 |
TWE
5 - 1
VVD
58%
21%
21%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 1966 |
WIL
4 - 0
TWE
45%
24%
31%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1966 |
TWE
1 - 1
GRO
60%
19%
20%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 1966 |
AJA
3 - 1
WIL
76%
14%
10%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1966 |
GRO
0 - 2
AJA
36%
25%
39%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1966 |
AJA
5 - 1
ADO
66%
18%
16%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1966 |
FOR
2 - 1
AJA
28%
23%
50%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1966 |
AJA
2 - 1
DWS
65%
19%
16%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |