Intertoto Cup Quarter-finals
Global 2-4
FC TVMK vs FC Honka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.6%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
13.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC TVMK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2007 |
HON
0 - 0
TVM
33%
24%
43%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2007 |
TVM
1 - 1
LEV
56%
21%
23%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2007 |
TAM
1 - 3
TVM
18%
23%
59%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2007 |
TVM
9 - 0
PAR
89%
8%
3%
|
78 | 48 | 30 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2007 |
AJA
0 - 6
TVM
9%
18%
74%
|
78 | 42 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
FC Honka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2007 |
HON
0 - 0
TVM
33%
24%
43%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2007 |
HON
0 - 0
FCL
57%
24%
20%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2007 |
TPS
1 - 3
HON
39%
26%
35%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2007 |
HON
0 - 0
HJK
43%
26%
31%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2007 |
FFJ
1 - 2
HON
25%
24%
51%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | +1 |