Türkiye Wilhelmsburg vs Süderelbe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
10.3%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.1%
65.6%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
3.4%
3-5
0.8%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
1.8%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
13.1%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
3.6%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
+47%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
11º
18º
15º
48
7º
14º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
77 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 63 |
3º
|
82.5% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
4º
|
82.5% | |
|
5º
|
59 | 59 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
56 | 56 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
46 | 46 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
39 | 39 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
30 | 30 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
24 | 24 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
17 | 17 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Türkiye Wilhelmsburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
WIL
0 - 3
ALT
15%
18%
68%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
HAL
4 - 2
WIL
63%
19%
18%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
WIL
1 - 3
HEB
24%
20%
57%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | -2 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
VHG
4 - 0
WIL
73%
14%
13%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
ETH
3 - 0
WIL
19%
19%
62%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Süderelbe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
SUD
6 - 2
ATB
82%
11%
8%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
SAS
3 - 3
SUD
78%
14%
9%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
SUD
8 - 0
UTO
83%
10%
7%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
WAN
1 - 2
SUD
34%
22%
44%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +2 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
SUD
3 - 3
BUC
81%
12%
8%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |