Türkiye Wilhelmsburg vs Alsterbruder analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
4%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.8%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21%
48.7%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
6%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
11º
18º
15º
34
4º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
77 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 63 |
3º
|
82.5% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
4º
|
82.5% | |
|
5º
|
59 | 59 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
56 | 56 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
46 | 46 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
39 | 39 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
30 | 30 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
24 | 24 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
17 | 17 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Türkiye Wilhelmsburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
WIL
3 - 2
VHG
12%
15%
74%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
ALT
5 - 1
WIL
84%
11%
6%
|
18 | 47 | 29 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
WIL
0 - 1
ETH
18%
19%
64%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
NIE
2 - 0
WIL
85%
10%
5%
|
19 | 46 | 27 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
WIL
0 - 4
DAS
11%
17%
72%
|
20 | 51 | 31 | -1 |
Matches
Alsterbruder
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
ATB
0 - 0
HEB
21%
19%
60%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
VHG
4 - 1
ATB
78%
12%
10%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
ATB
1 - 3
ALT
19%
23%
58%
|
25 | 47 | 22 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
ETH
2 - 1
ATB
58%
20%
23%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
ATB
2 - 5
NIE
18%
19%
64%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | -1 |