Tsarsko Selo vs Nesebar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.5%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.8%
5.7%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tsarsko Selo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2019 |
SIB
1 - 1
FCT
10%
15%
75%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2018 |
OFK
1 - 3
FCT
21%
26%
54%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
FCT
3 - 1
LOV
71%
18%
11%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
FCT
3 - 1
STR
81%
13%
6%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
FCT
0 - 2
ETA
56%
20%
23%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Nesebar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
NES
3 - 1
DOB
52%
23%
25%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2018 |
LUD
4 - 1
NES
51%
24%
25%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2018 |
MON
3 - 1
NES
74%
17%
9%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
NES
0 - 0
CHE
49%
25%
26%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
LSO
0 - 0
NES
65%
22%
13%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |