Toss Winterthur vs Chur 97 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.2%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
57.1%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chur 97
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
CHU
1 - 3
ZOF
52%
22%
26%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
CHI
3 - 0
CHU
67%
20%
14%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2009 |
CHU
1 - 0
CHA
46%
25%
29%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
SCH
4 - 1
CHU
55%
22%
23%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
CHU
0 - 1
ZUG
54%
23%
23%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | -1 |