Q. Europa League Play-offs Final
Global 0-5
Torpedo Kutaisi vs Ludogorets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
36%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Torpedo Kutaisi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2018 |
KUK
2 - 0
FTK
44%
25%
31%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2018 |
FTK
5 - 2
KUK
49%
25%
27%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2018 |
VIK
0 - 4
FTK
34%
24%
42%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2018 |
FTK
3 - 0
VIK
57%
22%
21%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2018 |
SHF
3 - 0
FTK
59%
21%
20%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Ludogorets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
LUD
1 - 0
CSK
48%
25%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2018 |
ZRI
1 - 1
LUD
44%
25%
31%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
FKV
0 - 2
LUD
13%
23%
64%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2018 |
LUD
1 - 0
ZRI
55%
24%
21%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
LUD
0 - 1
LPL
61%
22%
18%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |