Torpedo 2011 vs Guria Reservas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
39.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Torpedo 2011
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2012 |
SAI
5 - 1
KUT
72%
17%
12%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2012 |
KUT
3 - 2
SHU
46%
23%
31%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2012 |
EGR
2 - 0
KUT
82%
12%
6%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2012 |
KUT
2 - 1
MAR
14%
21%
66%
|
23 | 59 | 36 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2012 |
MAT
3 - 1
KUT
78%
15%
7%
|
24 | 49 | 25 | -1 |
Matches
Guria Reservas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2012 |
GUR
1 - 3
BAK
23%
23%
55%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2012 |
LAZ
3 - 0
GUR
77%
15%
8%
|
32 | 51 | 19 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2012 |
GUR
1 - 0
KOL
56%
22%
23%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2012 |
SAM
2 - 1
GUR
42%
24%
35%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2012 |
GUR
2 - 1
FEJ
58%
21%
21%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | -1 |