FC Tokyo vs Thespa Gunma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.4%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
16.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.7%
1-0
16.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
18.5%
8%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Tokyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
GIF
0 - 2
FCT
11%
22%
67%
|
77 | 51 | 26 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
GIR
1 - 0
FCT
11%
23%
67%
|
78 | 53 | 25 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2011 |
FCT
5 - 0
ROA
69%
21%
11%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2011 |
FCT
4 - 0
GIF
77%
17%
6%
|
77 | 52 | 25 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2011 |
OIT
0 - 0
FCT
17%
26%
58%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Thespa Gunma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
SAG
1 - 2
THE
60%
23%
17%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
THE
0 - 0
SAG
38%
27%
34%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2011 |
FAG
1 - 2
THE
35%
28%
37%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2011 |
THE
0 - 5
GAI
44%
26%
31%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2011 |
TOK
3 - 0
THE
58%
23%
19%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |