FC Tokyo vs Nagoya Grampus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
31.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Tokyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2004 |
JEF
2 - 2
FCT
62%
21%
17%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2004 |
FCT
2 - 1
GAM
45%
25%
30%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2004 |
KAA
0 - 0
FCT
66%
20%
14%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
FCT
1 - 1
SAN
40%
27%
34%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
FCT
2 - 1
KAR
61%
22%
17%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Nagoya Grampus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2004 |
NAG
2 - 1
OIT
52%
24%
23%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2004 |
NAG
3 - 0
URA
42%
25%
33%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2004 |
YFM
2 - 1
NAG
58%
23%
19%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2004 |
NAG
1 - 2
TOK
55%
23%
22%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
JEF
1 - 1
NAG
57%
22%
21%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |