FC Tokyo vs Albirex Niigata analysis

FC Tokyo Albirex Niigata
82 ELO 74
-4.8% Tilt -9.3%
454º General ELO ranking 496º
14º Country ELO ranking 19º
ELO win probability
58.9%
FC Tokyo
23.2%
Draw
17.9%
Albirex Niigata

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.9%
Win probability
FC Tokyo
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
17.9%
Win probability
Albirex Niigata
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
FC Tokyo
+1%
-15%
Albirex Niigata

Points and table prediction

FC Tokyo
Their league position
Albirex Niigata
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
12º
11º
45
15º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Vissel Kobe
71
71
100%
Yokohama F. Marinos
64
64
100%
Urawa Reds
57
57
100%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
56
56
100%
Kashima Antlers
52
52
0%
Nagoya Grampus
52
52
100%
Avispa Fukuoka
52
52
0%
Kawasaki Frontale
50
50
100%
Cerezo Osaka
49
49
100%
Albirex Niigata
10º
45
45
10º
100%
FC Tokyo
11º
43
43
11º
100%
Consadole Sapporo
12º
40
40
12º
0%
Kyoto Sanga
13º
40
40
13º
0%
Sagan Tosu
14º
38
38
14º
100%
Shonan Bellmare
15º
34
34
15º
0%
Gamba Osaka
16º
34
34
16º
0%
Kashiwa Reysol
17º
33
33
17º
100%
Yokohama
18º
29
29
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
FC Tokyo
Albirex Niigata
Champion
0% 0%
AFC Champions League Elite
0% 0%
AFC Champions League 2
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

FC Tokyo
Albirex Niigata
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

FC Tokyo
FC Tokyo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Apr. 2023
SAN
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1 - 2
FC Tokyo
FCT
50%
25%
24%
81 83 2 0
19 Apr. 2023
FCT
FC Tokyo
1 - 0
Gamba Osaka
GAM
50%
24%
25%
81 78 3 0
15 Apr. 2023
FCT
FC Tokyo
1 - 2
Cerezo Osaka
CER
41%
27%
32%
81 82 1 0
09 Apr. 2023
FCT
FC Tokyo
2 - 2
Shonan Bellmare
SHO
54%
25%
21%
81 78 3 0
05 Apr. 2023
GAM
Gamba Osaka
3 - 0
FC Tokyo
FCT
44%
26%
30%
81 77 4 0

Matches

Albirex Niigata
Albirex Niigata
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Apr. 2023
ALB
Albirex Niigata
0 - 2
Kashima Antlers
KAA
31%
26%
44%
74 82 8 0
19 Apr. 2023
KAR
Kashiwa Reysol
3 - 2
Albirex Niigata
ALB
53%
23%
24%
75 77 2 -1
15 Apr. 2023
ALB
Albirex Niigata
3 - 2
Avispa Fukuoka
AVI
40%
29%
31%
74 79 5 +1
09 Apr. 2023
VIS
Vissel Kobe
0 - 0
Albirex Niigata
ALB
63%
21%
16%
74 81 7 0
05 Apr. 2023
ALB
Albirex Niigata
2 - 0
Kashiwa Reysol
KAR
40%
26%
35%
72 78 6 +2