FC Thun U18 vs Aarau U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.2%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
65.9%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
9%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
2º
14º
13º
30
3º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
22 | 22 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Thun U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
FLK
1 - 1
FCT
86%
9%
5%
|
14 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
FCT
1 - 2
TTI
19%
19%
61%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
FCS
0 - 1
FCT
76%
14%
10%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
FCT
2 - 5
SFC
15%
18%
67%
|
14 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
GCZ
5 - 2
FCT
83%
11%
6%
|
14 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
TAA
0 - 2
LSS
72%
15%
13%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
FCZ
0 - 1
TAA
67%
18%
15%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
TAA
2 - 2
TWC
45%
21%
34%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
BYB
3 - 2
TAA
84%
10%
6%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
FLK
2 - 5
TAA
69%
16%
15%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | +1 |