FC Thun U18 vs FC Basel U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.4%
1-0
1.8%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
4.9%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.8%
81.4%
Win probability
2.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
10.4%
1-4
5.9%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
17.8%
0-4
7.7%
1-5
3.5%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
11.9%
0-5
4.6%
1-6
1.7%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
6.6%
0-6
2.3%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3.1%
0-7
1%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.3%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.5%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
2º
14º
13º
58
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
58 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
22 | 22 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Thun U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
FCT
4 - 1
STG
11%
16%
73%
|
12 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
FCS
4 - 0
FCT
81%
12%
7%
|
13 | 22 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2022 |
FCT
1 - 3
TWC
11%
15%
74%
|
13 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
LSS
4 - 0
FCT
58%
18%
24%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2022 |
FCT
3 - 3
NXA
19%
19%
62%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
FC Basel U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
FCB
3 - 0
LSS
90%
7%
3%
|
36 | 17 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
FCZ
4 - 1
FCB
26%
21%
53%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2022 |
FCB
3 - 3
FCZ
65%
18%
17%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
FCB
2 - 3
FLK
76%
14%
10%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
FLK
1 - 6
FCB
26%
20%
54%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | +1 |