FC Thun U16 vs Winterthur U16 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
11.1%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.1%
63.3%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
7%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
3.1%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
12.3%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.7%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+171%
+71%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
7º
14º
14º
30
3º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 22 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Thun U16
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
FCT
0 - 0
NXA
15%
17%
68%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
TMA
2 - 4
FCT
72%
15%
12%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | +2 |
| 16 Mar. 2023 |
FCT
1 - 8
LUZ
9%
13%
78%
|
12 | 22 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
TTC
3 - 3
FCT
56%
20%
24%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
FCT
0 - 2
FCS
46%
21%
33%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Winterthur U16
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
FCZ
5 - 1
WNT
88%
8%
4%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
WNT
2 - 2
STG
80%
12%
8%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
WNT
2 - 5
YNB
20%
19%
61%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
NXA
3 - 0
WNT
25%
20%
56%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
WNT
6 - 3
TMA
71%
15%
14%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |