FC Thun U16 vs Team Vaud U16 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.4%
1-0
2%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
6.7%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.6%
76.4%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
6%
2-5
1.8%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
16.3%
0-4
6%
1-5
3.5%
2-6
0.9%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
10.5%
0-5
3.5%
1-6
1.7%
2-7
0.4%
3-8
0%
-5
5.6%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
2.6%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+200%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
7º
14º
14º
51
2º
12º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 22 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Thun U16
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
FCZ
5 - 1
FCT
92%
6%
2%
|
14 | 37 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
FCT
2 - 1
WNT
19%
18%
63%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
FCT
0 - 0
NXA
15%
17%
68%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
TMA
2 - 4
FCT
72%
15%
12%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | +2 |
| 16 Mar. 2023 |
FCT
1 - 8
LUZ
9%
13%
78%
|
12 | 22 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Team Vaud U16
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
TMV
4 - 1
STG
84%
10%
5%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
TMV
1 - 1
FCZ
15%
17%
69%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2023 |
LUZ
6 - 2
TMV
44%
21%
36%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
TMV
2 - 3
YNB
35%
21%
44%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
NXA
6 - 3
TMV
14%
16%
70%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | -3 |