FC Thun U16 vs Team Aargau U16 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
16.6%
17.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+200%
+23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
2
3º
6º
6º
10
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
10 | 10 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
6 | 9 |
2º
|
63.5% | |
|
2º
|
8 | 8 |
3º
|
63.5% | |
|
3º
|
7 | 7 |
4º
|
75% | |
|
5º
|
5 | 5 |
5º
|
75% | |
|
|
6º
|
2 | 2 |
6º
|
75% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Thun U16
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2023 |
NXA
3 - 3
FCT
71%
15%
14%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
YNB
6 - 5
FCT
90%
7%
3%
|
15 | 33 | 18 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
FCT
1 - 1
TMV
10%
14%
76%
|
14 | 25 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
FCZ
5 - 1
FCT
92%
6%
2%
|
14 | 37 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
FCT
2 - 1
WNT
19%
18%
63%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Team Aargau U16
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2023 |
STG
7 - 0
TMA
51%
20%
30%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
TMA
2 - 1
GRA
7%
13%
80%
|
11 | 28 | 17 | +3 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
TTC
3 - 3
TMA
72%
15%
13%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
TMA
4 - 7
FCS
27%
21%
52%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
SFC
5 - 2
TMA
90%
7%
3%
|
12 | 24 | 12 | 0 |