FC Thun U16 vs Servette FC U16 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.5%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.2%
76.7%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
5.5%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
16.4%
0-4
6.4%
1-5
3%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.1%
0-5
3.5%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.1%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+200%
+54%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
7º
14º
14º
41
4º
11º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 22 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Thun U16
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
GRA
6 - 0
FCT
85%
10%
5%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
FCT
0 - 2
FCB
6%
11%
83%
|
17 | 38 | 21 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
FCT
1 - 2
STG
33%
22%
45%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
FCS
1 - 2
FCT
34%
22%
44%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2022 |
FCT
2 - 3
LUZ
23%
20%
57%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Servette FC U16
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
SFC
1 - 2
TMV
73%
15%
12%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
FCZ
4 - 2
SFC
45%
21%
34%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -2 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
SFC
4 - 3
WNT
76%
14%
10%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
SFC
3 - 2
FCZ
46%
21%
33%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
SFC
2 - 1
YNB
58%
20%
23%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | +1 |