FC Thun U16 vs FC Luzern U16 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
2.1%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.2%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.3%
77.8%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
5.9%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
16.7%
0-4
6.5%
1-5
3.4%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.8%
0-5
3.8%
1-6
1.6%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
5.7%
0-6
1.8%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
2.6%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+171%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
7º
14º
14º
46
3º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 22 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Thun U16
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
TTC
3 - 3
FCT
56%
20%
24%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
FCT
0 - 2
FCS
46%
21%
33%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
SFC
3 - 3
FCT
90%
7%
3%
|
12 | 27 | 15 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
FCT
1 - 5
GRA
10%
15%
74%
|
13 | 26 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
FCB
3 - 1
FCT
93%
5%
2%
|
13 | 36 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
FC Luzern U16
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
FCZ
2 - 0
LUZ
81%
12%
8%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
LUZ
2 - 5
WNT
66%
17%
17%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
YNB
3 - 3
LUZ
65%
18%
18%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
LUZ
3 - 2
NXA
80%
12%
8%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
TMA
2 - 4
LUZ
34%
21%
45%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | +1 |