FC Thun U15 vs FC Basel U15 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.2%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
62.9%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.1%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-87%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
2º
9º
9º
41
1º
3º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
42 | 42 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
41 | 41 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 37 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 33 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 29 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 28 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 13 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 13 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
12 | 12 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 4 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Thun U15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
THU
3 - 3
LAU
11%
16%
73%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
SIO
5 - 1
THU
31%
22%
48%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
THU
1 - 2
AFF
42%
22%
36%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
NEX
1 - 0
THU
56%
20%
24%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
THU
2 - 2
SOL
56%
20%
24%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
FC Basel U15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
BAS
7 - 2
SIO
81%
12%
7%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
AFF
3 - 0
BAS
24%
20%
56%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | -3 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
BAS
2 - 0
NEX
71%
16%
13%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
SOL
1 - 5
BAS
19%
19%
63%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
BAS
1 - 4
YOB
50%
21%
29%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -1 |