FC Thun U15 vs AFF-FFV Fribourg U15 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.3%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
35.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-87%
-27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
2º
9º
9º
29
4º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
42 | 42 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 41 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 37 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 33 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
29 | 29 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 28 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 13 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 13 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
12 | 12 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 4 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Thun U15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
NEX
1 - 0
THU
56%
20%
24%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
THU
2 - 2
SOL
56%
20%
24%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
YOB
3 - 2
THU
75%
15%
10%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
THU
4 - 1
LCO
88%
9%
4%
|
21 | 11 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
AFF-FFV Fribourg U15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
AFF
5 - 5
SIO
73%
15%
11%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
AFF
1 - 3
LAU
22%
20%
58%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
NEX
3 - 2
AFF
42%
22%
36%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
AFF
1 - 0
SOL
66%
18%
16%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | +1 |