Therwil vs Etoile Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
35%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Therwil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
MOU
6 - 1
FCT
78%
15%
8%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
FCT
2 - 1
LYS
21%
22%
58%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | +2 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
ALL
2 - 2
FCT
61%
21%
19%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
FCT
2 - 0
FCC
36%
24%
40%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
FCF
0 - 1
FCT
26%
24%
50%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Etoile Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
LYS
4 - 1
FCE
67%
18%
15%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
FCE
3 - 4
FCC
53%
23%
25%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
LIE
0 - 1
FCE
72%
17%
11%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
FCE
1 - 0
LAU
16%
19%
65%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | +2 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
POR
1 - 1
FCE
65%
20%
16%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |