FC Thalwil vs SC Emmen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.2%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
18%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
17.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
6º
15º
8º
33
6º
16º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 47 |
6º
|
87.5% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
87.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Thalwil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2025 |
BRU
3 - 1
FCT
27%
24%
49%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2025 |
FCT
3 - 2
LAC
55%
21%
24%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
BUO
1 - 0
FCT
42%
24%
34%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2025 |
FCT
3 - 2
LOC
29%
22%
49%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | +2 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
FCT
1 - 1
FCM
79%
13%
8%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
SC Emmen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2025 |
SCE
3 - 2
FCM
71%
15%
14%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2025 |
FCS
1 - 1
SCE
76%
14%
10%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
SCE
1 - 0
ROT
60%
19%
21%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2025 |
CHA
3 - 2
SCE
48%
22%
30%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
SCE
1 - 2
ACM
58%
20%
23%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -1 |