FC Thalwil vs Lugano II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.2%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
22%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
24.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Thalwil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
ESC
1 - 3
FCT
74%
15%
10%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
FCT
3 - 2
LIN
14%
18%
68%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | +3 |
| 15 Sep. 2021 |
FCT
1 - 3
FCB
30%
23%
47%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
TUG
2 - 0
FCT
87%
9%
4%
|
30 | 49 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
UZW
1 - 2
FCT
63%
19%
17%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
LUG
0 - 1
STG
36%
22%
42%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
ESC
0 - 6
LUG
78%
14%
8%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | +3 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
LUG
0 - 1
FRE
22%
21%
58%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
LIN
3 - 0
LUG
77%
14%
9%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
LUG
2 - 3
FCP
22%
21%
58%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | -1 |