FC Thalwil vs Lugano II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
27.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Thalwil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
GRA
3 - 0
FCT
75%
16%
9%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
FCT
1 - 2
MEN
36%
27%
38%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
TAV
1 - 0
FCT
29%
24%
46%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | -2 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
FCT
2 - 1
DIE
42%
23%
35%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
ESC
3 - 1
FCT
61%
22%
17%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
LUG
2 - 2
FCW
21%
24%
55%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
LUG
0 - 4
GRA
27%
24%
49%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
MEN
3 - 0
LUG
51%
26%
24%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -2 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
LUG
3 - 1
TAV
68%
18%
14%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
DIE
1 - 1
LUG
62%
19%
19%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |