FC Thalwil vs FC Rorschach-Goldach 17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.1%
25.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
4º
11º
6º
30
1º
13º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
23.5% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
51.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 43 |
7º
|
48.5% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 40 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 33 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 11 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Thalwil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2023 |
AMR
2 - 1
FCT
19%
21%
60%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
FCR
0 - 3
FCT
26%
22%
52%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
FCT
4 - 0
CHU
44%
22%
34%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +2 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
BAZ
3 - 1
FCT
59%
20%
21%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -2 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
FCB
1 - 1
FCT
80%
13%
8%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
FC Rorschach-Goldach 17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
FCR
3 - 2
WIL
41%
21%
38%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
UST
5 - 2
FCR
47%
22%
32%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
FCR
0 - 0
SVS
32%
22%
46%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
FRA
3 - 3
FCR
30%
21%
49%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
FCR
0 - 4
LAC
56%
20%
24%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | -1 |