FC Thalwil vs FC Rapperswil-Jona II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.9%
14.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
4º
13º
9º
34
13º
16º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
56% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 43 |
7º
|
24.5% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
68.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
40 | 41 |
9º
|
24.5% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
56% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Thalwil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
FCW
2 - 0
FCT
36%
22%
42%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
FCT
3 - 3
WIL
37%
22%
41%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
DSG
4 - 1
FCT
40%
22%
38%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -2 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
FCT
2 - 2
FCB
78%
13%
9%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
FCT
2 - 0
UST
60%
20%
20%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
FC Rapperswil-Jona II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
FCR
0 - 2
DUB
53%
20%
27%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
TAG
4 - 1
FCR
19%
19%
62%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
FCR
2 - 3
SVS
20%
20%
61%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
CHU
4 - 1
FCR
57%
20%
23%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
FCR
0 - 0
FRA
34%
20%
46%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |