FC Thalwil vs Oerlikon / Polizei analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.3%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
14.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Thalwil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2012 |
DIE
2 - 1
FCT
34%
24%
42%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
FCT
0 - 1
FCW
38%
26%
36%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
SCH
1 - 1
FCT
39%
24%
37%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
FCT
5 - 0
FCE
82%
13%
5%
|
40 | 10 | 30 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
SEE
0 - 3
FCT
36%
24%
39%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Oerlikon / Polizei
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2012 |
FCW
2 - 4
FCO
80%
14%
6%
|
24 | 53 | 29 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
FCO
1 - 3
DIE
46%
23%
32%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
FCW
2 - 0
FCO
78%
14%
8%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
FCO
1 - 3
SCH
44%
24%
32%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
FCE
1 - 4
FCO
12%
19%
69%
|
26 | 10 | 16 | +1 |