FC Thalwil vs FC Muri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.4%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.2%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.8%
7.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
6º
15º
8º
23
5º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 47 |
6º
|
87.5% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
87.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Thalwil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
FCS
2 - 0
FCT
59%
20%
21%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
FCT
4 - 0
ROT
75%
15%
11%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
CHA
1 - 2
FCT
35%
23%
43%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
FCT
0 - 3
ACM
78%
13%
9%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
FCT
1 - 1
ZUG
21%
22%
57%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
FC Muri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
FCM
0 - 5
LOC
12%
16%
72%
|
19 | 39 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
FCM
1 - 2
FCS
12%
17%
71%
|
19 | 39 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
ROT
2 - 2
FCM
52%
20%
29%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
FCM
1 - 5
CHA
29%
21%
50%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
FCM
2 - 2
ACM
53%
20%
27%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |