FC Thalwil vs Bazenheid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.8%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
18.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
-39%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
4º
13º
9º
40
4º
16º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
56% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 43 |
7º
|
24.5% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
68.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
40 | 41 |
9º
|
24.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
56% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Thalwil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
FCR
0 - 4
FCT
33%
22%
45%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
FCT
3 - 2
FCW
77%
14%
9%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
WIL
1 - 2
FCT
62%
19%
19%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2024 |
FCT
0 - 2
DUB
69%
16%
15%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
FCT
2 - 2
DSG
67%
17%
17%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Bazenheid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
BAZ
3 - 1
DUB
58%
19%
23%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
TAG
0 - 2
BAZ
28%
22%
50%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
BAZ
0 - 1
SVS
24%
20%
56%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2024 |
BAZ
2 - 0
WID
25%
21%
54%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +3 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
CHU
0 - 1
BAZ
59%
21%
20%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +1 |