FC Thalwil vs Chur 97 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.5%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
34.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
-40%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
4º
11º
6º
40
3º
12º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
23.5% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
51.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
40 | 43 |
7º
|
48.5% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 40 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 33 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 11 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Thalwil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
BAZ
3 - 1
FCT
59%
20%
21%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
FCB
1 - 1
FCT
80%
13%
8%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
FCT
2 - 1
WID
31%
22%
47%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
WIL
1 - 1
FCT
72%
15%
12%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
FCT
1 - 2
UST
65%
19%
17%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Chur 97
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
CHU
2 - 2
WIL
45%
22%
33%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
CHU
2 - 2
UST
59%
21%
21%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
SVS
2 - 1
CHU
45%
22%
33%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
CHU
1 - 1
FRA
68%
17%
15%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
LAC
0 - 1
CHU
39%
21%
41%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | +1 |